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  #1  
Old 15.06.2014, 10:36 PM
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Talking 2014 schedule + predictions

On the other thread was mentioned 9 wins is looking like the par score for measuring progress under the Fisher regime. I wanted to check out how this tallied against our schedule.

Regular season schedule

Very winnable:
1) Sept. 7: Minnesota Vikings, 1 W
2) Sept. 14: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 4:05 W
3) Sept. 21: Dallas Cowboys, 1 W
13) Nov. 30: Oakland Raiders, 1 W
14) Dec. 7: at Washington Redskins, 1 W
15) Dec. 11: Arizona Cardinals (Thu.), 8:25 W
16) Dec. 21: New York Giants, 4:05 W

Could win:
5) Oct. 5: at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 W
6) Oct. 13: San Francisco 49ers (Mon.), 8:30 W
7) Oct. 19: Seattle Seahawks, 1 W
8) Oct. 26: at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 W
10) Nov. 9: at Arizona Cardinals, 4:25 W
12) Nov. 23: at San Diego Chargers, 4:05 W

Probably lose:
9) Nov. 2: at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 L
11) Nov. 16: Denver Broncos, 1 L
17) Dec. 28: at Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 L

So if we win the first set, and halve the second set that is: 10-6
Throw in one or two surprises and we could do even better if the draft picks pan out, we avoid too many injuries and we find a receiver or two.

So basically next year we have a great shot at the playoffs. Clear your January schedules and let me know if anyone wants to join me in booking early bird playoff tickets for the Edward Jones. Go Rams!

Last edited by ramsus; 15.06.2014 at 10:39 PM.
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  #2  
Old 16.06.2014, 07:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ramsus View Post
On the other thread was mentioned 9 wins is looking like the par score for measuring progress under the Fisher regime. I wanted to check out how this tallied against our schedule.

Regular season schedule

Very winnable:
1) Sept. 7: Minnesota Vikings, 1 W
2) Sept. 14: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 4:05 W
3) Sept. 21: Dallas Cowboys, 1 W
13) Nov. 30: Oakland Raiders, 1 W
14) Dec. 7: at Washington Redskins, 1 W
15) Dec. 11: Arizona Cardinals (Thu.), 8:25 W
16) Dec. 21: New York Giants, 4:05 W

Could win:
5) Oct. 5: at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 W
6) Oct. 13: San Francisco 49ers (Mon.), 8:30 W
7) Oct. 19: Seattle Seahawks, 1 W
8) Oct. 26: at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 W
10) Nov. 9: at Arizona Cardinals, 4:25 W
12) Nov. 23: at San Diego Chargers, 4:05 W

Probably lose:
9) Nov. 2: at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 L
11) Nov. 16: Denver Broncos, 1 L
17) Dec. 28: at Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 L

So if we win the first set, and halve the second set that is: 10-6
Throw in one or two surprises and we could do even better if the draft picks pan out, we avoid too many injuries and we find a receiver or two.

So basically next year we have a great shot at the playoffs. Clear your January schedules and let me know if anyone wants to join me in booking early bird playoff tickets for the Edward Jones. Go Rams!
Last 2 years we've gone 3-5-1 and 3-6 against teams with winning records, or 4-6-1 with Sam as QB, match that 4-6 against the 10 teams we play with winning records, we then need to go 5-1 against the other 6 for a winning season.

I think a few of those teams with winning records are over-rated, Chiefs went 0-6 against teams with winning records, finished the season 2-6. Eagles are a good side, but Foles faced 2 top 20 Ds last season.

It depends how the Fisher draft picks pan out, we need some of those guys to become elite, not just merely good. And we need Sam for 16 games.

I'm not budging from 9-7 today.
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  #3  
Old 17.06.2014, 10:33 AM
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Here is the Rams record from last year against the teams W/L record from 2012,

Week Opponent Results 2012 wins 2012 loses
2 at Atlanta Falcons L 24–31 13 3
6 at Houston Texans W 38–13 12 4
4 San Francisco 49ers L 11–35 11 4
13 at San Francisco 49ers L 13–23 11 4
8 Seattle Seahawks L 9–14 11 5
10 at Indianapolis Colts W 38–8 11 5
17 at Seattle Seahawks L 9–27 11 5
12 Chicago Bears W 42–21 10 6
3 at Dallas Cowboys L 7–31 8 8
7 at Carolina Panthers L 15–30 7 9
15 New Orleans Saints W 27–16 7 9
16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 23–13 7 9
9 Tennessee Titans L 21–28 6 10
1 Arizona Cardinals W 27–24 5 11
14 at Arizona Cardinals L 10–30 5 11
5 Jacksonville Jaguars W 34–20 2 14

Seems we struggled versus the good D's more than anything. To fix this goes back to your point about getting Sam for 16 games I guess and just general improvement in the O, better scheming, so we have a plan B if teams can shut down plan A, fewer drops, better line play, better play calling, not playing daryl richardson, improvements in all these areas would add up.

For mounting a serious playoff run what would really help a lot is one of SF or Seattle to regress or have a down year, and it could happen, sustained dominance is tough in the NFL and rare. If we could at least split the divisional games that would put us in a really good position.

As these 2 have harder schedules than us, as they get New Orleans/Chicago (SF) and Green Bay/Carolina (Hawks) and we get Vikings/BucsN

SF - their core is getting old, Bowman is out, Gore & Willis are getting older and some of their draft picks have not worked out they have lost a bunch of their secondary, (they have brought in Bethea and Cook but remains to be seen if they will be as good).

Hawks - they still have a good roster, but it's not uncommon to get some regression after a SB win, last year pretty much everything went their way and I doubt that happens again. And it won't affect next season but now Thomas and Sherman just got paid massively they are going to start hitting cap issues down the road

Should also mention the Cards, they are actually prob getting better too and shouldn't be discounted. But as well as being competition for playoff places them getting better could potentially help us if they can take some games away from our rivals.

Last edited by ramsus; 17.06.2014 at 11:37 AM.
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Old 02.09.2014, 03:11 PM
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Based on Shaun Hill as our QB

Sep 7 - vs. Minnesota, 1:00 PM ET W
Sep 14 - at Tampa Bay, 4:05 PM ET L
Sep 21 - vs. Dallas, 1:00 PM ET W
Sep 28 - Open
Oct 5 - at Philadelphia, 1:00 PM ET L
Oct 13 - vs. San Francisco, 8:30 PM ET W
Oct 19 - vs. Seattle, 1:00 PM ET L
Oct 26 - at Kansas City, 1:00 PM ET L
Nov 2 - at San Francisco, 4:05 PM ET L
Nov 9 - at Arizona, 4:25 PM ET W
Nov 16 - vs. Denver, 1:00 PM ET L
Nov 23 - at San Diego, 4:05 PM ET L
Nov 30 - vs. Oakland, 1:00 PM ET W
Dec 7 - at Washington, 1:00 PM ET W
Dec 11 - vs. Arizona, 8:25 PM ET W
Dec 21 - vs. NY Giants, 4:05 PM ET W
Dec 28 - at Seattle, 4:25 PM ET L (3rd season running we get Seattle in the last game)

8-8 (3rd in NFC West behind 49rs)
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Old 04.09.2014, 02:45 PM
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Sep 7 - vs. Minnesota, 1:00 PM ET L
Sep 14 - at Tampa Bay, 4:05 PM ET W
Sep 21 - vs. Dallas, 1:00 PM ET W
Sep 28 - Open
Oct 5 - at Philadelphia, 1:00 PM ET W
Oct 13 - vs. San Francisco, 8:30 PM ET W
Oct 19 - vs. Seattle, 1:00 PM ET W
Oct 26 - at Kansas City, 1:00 PM ET W
Nov 2 - at San Francisco, 4:05 PM ET L
Nov 9 - at Arizona, 4:25 PM ET L
Nov 16 - vs. Denver, 1:00 PM ET L
Nov 23 - at San Diego, 4:05 PM ET W
Nov 30 - vs. Oakland, 1:00 PM ET W
Dec 7 - at Washington, 1:00 PM ET W
Dec 11 - vs. Arizona, 8:25 PM ET L
Dec 21 - vs. NY Giants, 4:05 PM ET W
Dec 28 - at Seattle, 4:25 PM ET W

11 - 5. I AM an eternal optimist and much of this depends on the LB's and DB's stepping up. Offensively I don't think loosing Sam Bradford is a huge problem. Yes, he's a good QB (cold be a very good one, but I don't think we'll find out how good now). Hill can pass, so can Keenum if push comes to shove, but our offence appears to be based on the run and short passing game. I do think there'll be more vertical passing and I have a feeling Britt and Quick will surprise people this season, but there'll be nothing too complicated in the deeper passing game and Hill will be fine.

Defence worries me. We have had a problem with tackling and nothing in the pre season has convinced me we're any better this season than last. Teams can run on us and move the ball while receivers will be able to break the first tackle.

My win/loss guess is based on teams that I think are over rated and over performed last season (Eagles, Cheifs, Chargers) and the fact that SF are weaker (in my opinion) than they were (lost players in free agency, suspensions, injury, hold outs damaging unity and ageing). I also think Minnesota underperformed and are much better than last season showed.

As for Seattle - SB Champions often have a down year. They are a running team and I don't think Wilson is a Tom Brady who can beat you without a running game. Lynch held out and we just don't know how that may have effected the dressing room. Plus we're due some luck against them!

As I said, I am the King of Wishful Thinking. Always have been. I was utterly convinced we would win SB XXV after being one of the best teams in 1989. Got that wrong.

Last edited by Burgerboy558; 04.09.2014 at 02:49 PM.
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